Market

Real Estate Market in European Cities

By: Paulina Ruta

Many factors that are out of the hands of both the buyers and sellers heavily affect the Real Estate Market specifically when it comes to high-end real estate and investment properties. This has been clearly demonstrated in the European market with recent political unrest heavily affecting the stability of many real estate markets.

In the UK, Brexit is definitely partly to blame for London’s decline in prices. People fear the unknown and for many months the nation was heavily divided. However, as the dust settles, prices in recent months started to decrease at a much slower rate; perhaps there’s hope for the future.

On the other hand, with President Emmanuel Macron’s election in France, Paris is on the rise once again after nearly a decade of decline (or very minimal growth). Its low interest rates coupled with newly found ‘stability’ are very appealing to investors.

A government policy change in 2012 completely changed the game of real estate in Portugal, when it granted residence permits to non-European nationals. In 2012, prices in Lisbon rose by 35% and have been on an upward trend since. In other cities such as Santo António and Misericórdia consistently see year-to-year growth of over 35%.

Dublin has seen steady growth and had a tremendous year with 11.6% average price increases. However, predictions for the future are a bit more conservative as the Central Bank of Ireland is said to be releasing stricter mortgage lending rules.

Finally, Berlin has seen high growth rates for the past three years that many credit to the newly booming tech industry. Predictions for the future are more stable but still positive.

Article reference: https://www.wsj.com/articles/luxury-real-estate-runs-hot-and-cold-in-europe-1516290485

Commercial Property Sales in New York City

By: Jonathan Kohan

For the first-time New York, has fallen behind both Dallas and Los Angeles in commercial sales. In New York, commercial real estate sales have declined by over 56% when comparing this fiscal quarter to the same fiscal quarter in 2016. The sales of New York commercial properties dropped to 14.1 billion, whereas real estate investment in both Dallas and Los Angeles equated to 15.1 billion and 21.2 billion respectively. This is a big national shock as New York is consistently ranked as the number one area for real estate investment. Overall, this has significant importance nationally as commercial property sales overall have decreased by 9% from 2016. This suggests that we as a nation are shifting from the hyper-supply aspect to recession aspect of the real estate cycle. This is backed by the notion that Real-estate industry participants in New York state that the slowdown is being caused by the extremely high values that have been reached after the lengthy bull market that has been occurring. Both buyers and sellers seem to be disagreeing on price values thus causing a stalemate. Many individuals believe that there will be a continuous slowdown until one side is forced to crack.

Sources: Grant, Peter. “New York Falls Behind Dallas and Los Angeles in Commercial Property Sales.”The Wall Street Journal, Dow Jones & Company, 24 Oct. 2017, www.wsj.com/articles/new-york-falls-behind-dallas-and-los-angeles-in-commercial-property-sales-1508884185.

Real Estate Landscape in West Africa

By: Oluwafeyikemi Makinde

The lack of infrastructure investments in Africa specifically in growing metropolitan areas in west Africa such as Nigeria and Ghana has led to a unique phenomenon in the real estate market. This has allowed for developments that are mixed use and allow people who chose to be in these spaces to have access to the office space, housing and retail that they might need to enjoy the expanding middle class lifestyle that is becoming more accessible to them. The idea of live, work and play that is inherently associated with any mixed use development in the west and seen as relatively innovative, but this has become almost a necessity for up and coming real estate developers in Africa. The mixed use spaces are going to be able to help reduce traffic in highly congested cities and hopefully reduce the load on the already strained municipal and state infrastructure systems. Reducing the commute may help the African nations stay ahead and increase the efficiency of the work force.

The push for innovative real estate solutions is something that the current Lagos governor continues to push for even the affordable housing to be more mixed use so that the efficiency increase is captured across all income levels. In Ghana the One Airport Square area in Accra is becoming a flagship location for a mixed use facility in west Africa. The development includes a hotel, retail and residential. The increased developments means that private developers can move around the slow moving public infrastructure development, and many real estate professionals hope the upcoming WAPI summit would bring together investors and public officials to help coordinate on strategy for development in the regions.

Sources: https://www.cnbcafrica.com/apo/2017/10/09/lack-of-infrastructure-drives-demand-for-mixeduse-developments/